We ran 30+ experiments across 10 cryptocurrencies to find what actually predicts price movements. Here's what survived — and what didn't.
The Setup
- 10 cryptocurrencies tested: BTC, ETH, SOL, and 7 altcoins
- 3 timeframes: 1-hour, 4-hour, and daily candles
- Binary classification: Predict up or down by at least 0.5%
- Walk-forward validation: Model never sees future data
What Won
| Model | Accuracy | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| XGBoost (aggressive tuning) | 54-56% | Winner |
| LSTM | 51-54% | Rejected |
| Transformer | 49-52% | Rejected |
Read the full analysis with all 30+ experiments on our blog.
Originally published at nydar.co.uk
Originally published at Nydar. Nydar is a free trading platform with AI-powered signals and analysis.
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